According to immunologist Vladimir Bolibok, the increase of COVID-19 cases is inevitable in Russia in the short term. Therefore, sanitary and epidemiological restrictions are likely to be introduced again.
The fight against the epidemic of the novel coronavirus is still going on in Russia. According to the recent statistics, the situation in general has been taken under control. There is a gradual decrease in the number of newly registered cases per day. This allowed the government to start lifting restrictive measures. So, the Russian residents are gradually returning to their routine lifestyle.
However, against the background of news that is fairly encouraging, some negative information has begun to appear more often recently. Apparently, Russia is likely to reintroduce the self-isolation regulations from September 20, 2020 to January 20, 2021. Political scientist Sergey Mikheev was the first to tell the public about it. With reference to his own sources he said that Moscow mayor Sergey Sobyanin gave a secret order to the Moscow city government to start preparing for the second wave of COVID-19 by introduction of a strict quarantine since September, 20th. Partially this information was confirmed by Mikhail Delyagin, a political scientist and economist. According to him, some Moscow doctors have been already warned about a possible quarantine in the period from September to January.
People took this information very seriously. There were animated discussions on this subject in social nets. Immunologist Vladimir Bolibok gave an interview on the possibility of imposing the quarantine to NEWS.RU. He said that the first wave of the novel coronavirus in Russia is not over yet, so it is somewhat early to talk about the second one. However, Bolibok believes that in the short term, the increase of COVID-19 cases is inevitable in Russia. So, sanitary and epidemiological restrictions are likely to be introduced again.
“An increase of COVID-19 cases is inevitable as the restrictions are lifted,” said immunologist Vladimir Bolibok. “To prevent this, herd immunity must be formed among 60 or so percent residents. At present, this indicator is 20% in Moscow, but the situation in the regions is different.
“Chances are the current removal of restrictive will create the conditions for the spread of the COVID-19 infection. So, the number of cases is very likely to grow. As autumn sets in, people will do less ventilating of rooms. Air circulation in public transport might also be cut down. Additionally, autumn air temperatures are much lower than the summer ones, and the best temperature to keep the virus alive is around 7 °C.
“The risks of a new outbreak are high. There is a probability that by the autumn Russia might need to impose sanitary and epidemiological restrictions again. However, I don’t think that there will be a very strict quarantine given the economy of the country, which might not withstand strong restrictions.”