Valery Solovey, a political scientist and doctor of historical sciences, has given more accurate data on the negotiation process. He said Vladimir Putin had persuaded Alexander Lukashenko to hold a new election without Lukashenko running for the office this time.
In the first days of protest actions against the results of the presidential election, it seemed that the cruelty with which the Belarusian security forces were cracking down on the participants in the rallies would bear fruit in the short term, and the protest would gradually subside. However, the events of the next days showed clearly that the Belarusians were not ready to put up with the situation and were not scared at all by the possible brutal suppression of their activity or further repressions. The strength of the protests is gradually growing. So, Alexander Lukashenko, the incumbent Belarusian President, has to look for ways out of a critical situation, which is partly a result of his fault.
As many political analysts noted earlier, the fact that even before the presidential elections, Lukashenko tried to play the so-called “Russian intervention” card publicly was his main problem in the current situation. It significantly damaged the already strained relations with – Moscow, the closest ally of the Belarusian authorities. Later, it became known that the conversation between Alexander Lukashenko and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin had taken place, although the details of the conversation could only be seen from partial extracts of information that reporters received from well-connected insiders.
Valery Solovey, a political scientist and doctor of historical sciences, shares the most complete insides about what is happening. Earlier, he said that during their last conversation Putin and Lukashenko tried to find a compromise and even discussed a possible new candidate for the post of the President of Belarus. At present, Solovey has given more accurate details on the negotiation process. According to him, Vladimir Putin had persuaded Alexander Lukashenko to hold a new election without Lukashenko’s participation in it.
According to Solovey, Lukashenko accepted the Kremlin's proposal to hold new elections in Belarus against the background of large-scale protests organized by supporters of the opposition and of general internal political instability. Moreover, he specified the main points on which the sides had reached preliminary key agreements. Thus, it is reported that in Belarus, as part of a national compromise, an early presidential election is to be held. However, the most important thing is that Lukashenko will stay away from running for the office this time.
Then, in Solovey’s opinion, everything might happen according to a prearranged scenario. It is noted that not only Svetlana Tikhanovskaya, but also another candidate Viktor Babariko will speak on behalf of the national coalition as presidential candidates.
According to Solovey, Babariko is the one who is highly likely to become the winner of the new presidential election and provide Lukashenko with guarantees of personal security. However, after that Babariko might face the plight of a president of Belarus who will finally sign an agreement with Moscow on the Union State. And at this point, Alexander Lukashenko will be brought back into the game.
“In this case, Lukashenko becomes secretary of the State Council of the Union State, and Vladimir Putin will be the head of this institution,” says Valery Solovey.