"Russia is already in the state of power transit that was written about earlier,” said Yuri Shvets. “That is, the transit from the Russian President to his successors has already started. In my opinion, the security forces, especially the Federal Security Service (FSB,) are among them. Putin is getting ready to hand over power to the FSB and Nikolai Patrushev."
The year of 2020, despite the collapse of oil prices, the COVID-19 pandemic, the political crisis in Belarus, the protest actions in Khabarovsk, and even the scandalous US presidential election, will be remembered by many as a time of broad discussions of Vladimir Putin’s political future of Vladimir Putin.
There are numerous statements by experts and political scientists who continue to predict Putin’s imminent retirement from the presidency. Moreover, in this case each expert has his own set of arguments in favor of the seemingly common scenario. Some believe that Putin has eventually lost control over the situation. Allegedly, he began to increasingly indulge in the "whims" of the ruling groups and even fell under the influence of his inner circle, which wanted him to bow out of big politics. For example, the bill submitted to the State Duma in the fall of 2020 regarding additional guarantees of immunity for former Russian presidents is linked to this version.
Others, on the contrary, say that Vladimir Putin is likely to give up the presidency due to more “down-to-earth” circumstances. For example, political analyst Valery Solovey repeatedly made hints suggesting that the Russian President might have encountered "personal circumstances of irresistable force." Allegedly, they have forced him to think over his future outside of big politics. Moreover, in Solovey’s opinion, the expected transit of power has already begun, and Putin might leave the presidency in 2021. The truthfulness of this theory can be checked very soon, since 2021 has already started.
Solovey's version is to some extent supported by Yury Shvets, a former KGB officer and Putin’s fellow student at the Institute of State Security. The latter man claims that Putin has lost his former qualities and most of his levers of influence. Not long ago, in a conversation with reporter Dmitry Gordon, Shvets even voiced an opinion that the power transit was in full swing in Russia. Moreover, he even named its specific beneficiaries.
"Russia is already in the state of power transit that was written about earlier,” said Shvets. “That is, the transit from the Russian President to his successors has already started. In my opinion, the security forces, especially the Federal Security Service (FSB,) are among them. Putin is getting ready to hand over power to the FSB and Nikolai Patrushev.
“In general, I believe that Putin has completely lost control of power in Russia. Therefore, currently, his main task is to preserve his future and health. Of course, this brilliant politician, as many say about the incumbent Russian President, should not leave power in this way.”