“In addition, there is also serious technological lagging, a backward resource-based economy and, of course, a corrupted system in Russia,” Fedorov said. “Therefore, I believe that over the next few years, we should be ready for very serious changes.”
A social, economic and especially political crisis always becomes a fertile ground for speculating on how life in the country might change in terms of this or that aspect. Many shifts occur during the crises – the welfare of the residents, the balance of power at the top tiers of government, the external and internal policy of the state itself, or at least of those who speak on behalf of the state.
As a matter of fact, any crisis that leads to serious economic issues also creates a certain social tension. As a rule, it is considered through the perspective of what could be a confrontation between people and the authorities. Meanwhile, according to some experts, in the current conditions, it does not concern the relations between people and the government, but the relations between different representatives of the leading circles and elites, who are preparing for a serious internal confrontation.
Recently, the Russian top ranking officials and various influence groups have adopted thinking in “post-Putin terms,” despite the fact that the Russian President is still in control of the situation and even carries out strategic reshuffling in the higher echelons of power. According to Georgy Fedorov, a former member of the Civic Chamber of the Russian Federation and leader of the Civil Solidarity movement, the Russian elites have already moved to a mode of resources’ accumulation that might be needed either for leaving the country or for a large-scale struggle for power.
“Everyone understands very clearly that the current Russian political system has almost run its course,” Fedorov said on his Facebook’s account.
“Nobody is comfortable with the current consensus anymore – neither business, nor people, nor officials. Everyone will confirm that they are not satisfied with what is happening in the country if you ask them. They see that the incumbent President is going to stay in power for another five years. Various interest groups have already started to think about post-Putin times.”
“Elites are Saving up Resources Before a Large-scale Power Struggle to Begin in Russia”
According to Fedorov, the active amassing of resources began just before the big crash of the system and the following property redistribution accompanied by the re-division of spheres of political influence.
“Some are saving resources to leave Russia and hare off abroad, and others are doing it to become stronger in the upcoming struggle for power. However, this amassing simply cannot last forever. Everybody understands that this chaos will end sooner or later, as the times of gangsters’ lawlessness did earlier. It cannot go on like this forever. Otherwise, the country might simply fall apart. That is why I believe that at present, the elites are saving up resources just before the big power struggle breaks out in Russia,” he added.
According to Georgy Fedorov, in the next five years, Russia is likely to find itself in a rather desperate state. Especially taking into account the fact that sanctions might not be lifted, and the external pressure might continue. “In addition, there is also the serious technological lagging, a backward resource-based economy and, of course, the corrupt system in Russia,” he said. “Therefore, I believe that over the next few years, we should be ready for very dramatic changes.”