Among other things, according to Anatoly Wasserman, a well-known Russian news analyst, the candidates are being elected with due consideration of mistakes made in the past. The reason is the Presidential Administration is trying to avoid any miscalculations such as those that led up to making Dmitry Medvedev the President of Russia.
The discussion around the so-called Successor operation has somewhat subsided. As part of it, Vladimir Putin has to decide on the candidate for next presidency, who will be able to take the post after his resignation and to continue the current course of Russia’s development after adoption of the constitutional amendments and the terms of Putin’s tenure have been “reset to zero.” Meanwhile, many experts repeatedly say that despite the opportunity to run for another two presidential terms, Vladimir Putin might still have slightly different plans. Therefore, future efforts on his part to hold on to the presidential office are highly unlikely.
According to one of the theories, the Kremlin expects to completely reshape the entire hierarchy of state power in Russia in the foreseeable future. In doing so, the decision-making center might be shifted closer to the State Council, which will supposedly be chaired by the incumbent Russian President. However, most political analysts continue saying that Vladimir Putin might still act as it was predicted even before the latest political changes. So, he is likely to choose his successor and leave the post, ensuring the transfer of power in as quiet and safe a situation as possible. Moreover, according to Anatoly Wasserman, a well-known Russian political expert and reporter, the Kremlin is already conducting a full-blown “casting session” for the role of Putin's successor in accordance with these plans. Among other things, according to Wasserman, the candidates are being elected with due consideration of the mistakes made in the past. The reason for this is that the Presidential Administration is trying to avoid any miscalculations such as those that led up to making Dmitry Medvedev the President of Russia in 2008.
“To my thinking, Putin might take into account the fact that in the last decade, the previous appointment of his successor was not the best option,” said Wasserman. “Then Dmitry Medvedev and Sergei Ivanov made it to the finals. After that, a large-scale propaganda campaign against the latter man started in the media immediately. As a result, Medvedev won the presidential election. During his tenure he messed things up so badly that Putin had to get back to the office again. Given this experience, at present, efforts are made the participants in the new “casting session” out of public eye.”
According to Wasserman, Dmitry Medvedev initially did not befit the role of the President. In his opinion, it was clear almost from the first days of his tenure. Moreover, Wasserman believes that at the time, Medvedev was needed to keep the post of the Russian President warm for Putin, and he was not allowed to make any important decisions on his own. Today, in order to avoid the problems that arose last time, the Kremlin is carrying out a more rigorous selection along overhauled new rules.
“Several dozens of people signing non-disclosure statements gain access to all information flows that reach the Russian President,” said Wasserman. “They have to make their choice based on these data. Then their choice is compared with other candidates and the incumbent President. This is how they are trained to make decisions in an environment that is as close to an operational situation as possible. In this case, they have the opportunity to get important managerial experience and relevant skills while staying out of the media's sight.”