Political scientist Valery Solovey has spoken about the forthcoming struggle for the key government posts and possible successors to Vladimir Putin. He also predicted how and when power structure in this country is likely to change.
After the novel coronavirus infection started spreading throughout Russia, the informational focus of the majority of the country's residents shifted to fighting against COVID-19. The topics of amendments to the Constitution and the relevant voting, as well as experts' discussions of the possible successors to Vladimir Putin have receded into the background. However, this agenda is still relevant in the Kremlin. According to experts, political struggle to earn “a place in the sun” does not stop for a moment in the corridors of power.
For example, in an interview with the Glavtema YouTube channel, political analyst Valery Solovey spoke about the forthcoming struggle for key government posts and possible successors to Vladimir Putin. He also shared his opinion on how and when power structure may change in this country. The current difficult situation in Russia, which is aggravated by the coronavirus pandemic paralyzing many economic sectors, became the main topic of conversation with Solovey.
“Of course, Putin would like to stay in power but there are other people who would want to lead the country instead of him. In general, everybody knows their names. The issue will be tackled in the nearest future – not in 2024,” said Valery Solovey recalling the end of Putin’s current term of office. “Everything will be decided in the next year and a half. Power is likely to change before 2022, and it's already quite obvious.”
Solovey is confident that the processes, which will likely cause the shift of power, have already begun in our society. According to him, there is no stopping them, and many representatives of the incumbent government are already making plans for how to get away from the thick of it as farthest as possible.
“Who are these people who are eager to lead the country? For example, [Moscow Mayor] Sobyanin, who is forming his alliance by all means today,” said Solovey. “There is a group of people that is totally against it — for example, Nikolai Patrushev and Alexander Bortnikov. There is also Igor Sechin who is going his own way -- if not to become a Russian President, then at least to put up maximal hindrances to those who could take this post. There are “accommodating” and rather unexpected candidates and we all know who they are.”
At the same time, he recalled that Vladimir Putin flatly refuses to discuss any kind of succession. Solovey considers it a very important point.
“Only Vladimir Putin himself can be a successor to Vladimir Putin,” Solovey said summing the situation up. “As far as I know, when someone tries to come up with this issue, he becomes very angry. After all, no one dares to raise the question directly, while the attempts to do it “in passing” do not work. However, at the end of summer this issue will be raised anyway.”