Bolkunets stresses the Belarusian President’s feeling of insecurity that under the current conditions. It is noticeable on the picture made at Alexander Lukashenko’s meeting with the Russian Foreign Minister: he “sat tense with shaky hands, carefully delving into what greetings were conveyed to him from Sochi.”
Most experts assessed rather superficially the visit of the Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov to Minsk, where he met with President Lukashenko. Some people even said that Lukashenko, who had previously used to fulfill almost everything that was required of him, now had "mockingly" promised to think over the Kremlin's proposals. Meanwhile, the political analyst Dmitry Bolkunets says this meeting became a difficult test for Alexander Lukashenko since Moscow’s envoy, represented by Lavrov, made a reminder to the the Belarus leader of the agreements that the latter man had not fulfilled.
The expert believes that at the moment the president of Belarus has no other options but to start fulfilling his earlier obligations, including the drafting of a new Constitution of the country, despite the fact that Lukashenko is obviously trying to evade this of late.
Bolkunets said that the Belarus President feels insecure under the current conditions. It is noticeable on the picture made at the meeting with the Russian Foreign Minister: he “sat tense with shaky hands, carefully delving into what greetings were conveyed to him from Sochi.”
Moreover, Bolkunets believes that if Lukashenko does not listen to the "greetings from Putin" brought to him specially by Sergei Lavrov, he will face serious sanctions from the European Union. These restrictive measures, according to preliminary estimates, might affect about 400 enterprises and about 30 important Belarusian businessmen. In addition, the sanctions may also partly hit Russia due to close business ties with Belarus. Finally, it is possible that some Russians will be included in the sanction list.
“It would be rather unpleasant for Moscow if it had to be responsible for Lukashenko’s actions,” says the analyst and adds that due to the Kremlin’s initial support for the Belarusian leader, Moscow may fall in the eyes of the people of Belarus.
Meanwhile, the expert is convinced that it will be quite simple to transfer power from Lukashenko, especially since the way to do this was made public at the very beginning. This is about the redistribution of powers and amendments to the Constitution. Simultaneously, Belkunets pointed out the importance of severely curtailing the powers of the president and holding the early elections, which Alexander Lukashenko will not be able to take part in.
“The country's economy is waiting for Lukashenko to leave since he only destroys the republic,” the expert summed up.