According to Mikhail Delyagin, the second wave of self-isolation, if it begins in autumn, might pursue exceptionally political purposes. Chances are it will help suppress possible protest actions of the Russians caused by political activities. Thus, it might enable the authorities to calmly survive the winter.
The second wave of the novel coronavirus and the possible introduction of quarantine this autumn have already been discussed in the expert community. Many analysts believe that it is inevitable. However, in their opinion, the deplorable consequences for the authorities are very likely.
For example, Mikhail Delyagin, a well-known economist, told Glavtema online radio that the authorities, for their part, are reasonably preparing to re-introduce the self-isolation regulations this autumn in order to prevent political protest actions against the background of the forthcoming political crisis in Russia and the autumn regional elections. However, in his opinion, the Russians are unlikely to comply with it.
“We are already being told about the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic,” said Delyagin. “I understand that from the point of view of the authorities it is very reasonable. In order to solve the issue of political crisis and possible massive protest actions triggered by it, they are talking about the quarantine.
“As soon as public discontent increases for one reason or another, the country might announce the second wave of the infection. Lockdown might be imposed again in order to make everyone stay at home. Yes, many people might not follow the rules probably ignoring the restrictions imposed. Anyway, the Russians will reduce their activities because there are still enough responsible and naïve people here.
“I believe that if the country goes into a second lockdown this autumn, it will be introduced only for political reasons in order to ward off possible riots and to survive the winter calmly in this way.
“However, it seems to me that the government might make a mistake if the isolation begins this autumn, because the Russians like to express their discontent with the authorities mostly in spring. This is a historically predetermined thing.”