Chief Infectious Disease Specialist Tells When COVID-19 Epidemic is to be Over in Russia

Chief Infectious Disease Specialist Tells When COVID-19 Epidemic is to be Over in Russia

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The gradual removal of restrictive measures is about to start. At the same time, the vast majority of the Russians continue to ask themselves one question – when is the epidemic in Russia to be over? Yelena Malinnikova, an infectious disease specialist for the Russian Ministry of Health, tried to answer this question.

For more than two months the coronavirus infection has been spreading over the territory of Russia. A total of 326,000 cases were registered during this time. The Russian government in cooperation with regional governors adopted a number of restrictive measures for people to help curtail the COVID-19 epidemic.

The results of almost two months of self-isolation differ from one region to another. Some of them have managed to avoid a sharp rise in COVID-19 cases, while in others – for example, in Dagestan – the situation remains tense. The data for the last several days all over Russia show that the epidemic has reached the so-called “plateau,” which means that the curve of incidence has flattened. Denis Protsenko, the head doctor of Moscow's Kommunarka medical center for coronavirus patients, shares this viewpoint.

The gradual removal of restrictive measures is about to begin. At the same time, the vast majority of the Russians continue to ask themselves one question – when is the epidemic in Russia to be over?

Yelena Malinnikova, an infectious disease specialist for the Russian Ministry of Health, tried to answer this question.

She said that the COVID-19 epidemic in Russia is expected to end in July.

“I am well aware of the mechanisms of the epidemiological process,” Malinnikova said in an interview with Channel One Russia. “I presume that already in July the epidemic of the novel coronavirus is to be over in Russia, even though the restrictive measures are being lifted step by step. By July, everybody will forget about us, infectious disease specialists and virologists, and you will stop inviting us to television studios as experts.”

She added that there might be little spikes of the virus in Russia, but they are unlikely to reach a peak indicating a tendency to decrease.

“We need to understand that a little spike is not a peak coronavirus incidence,” Malinnikiva said. “They still show a certain downward trend.”

Earlier, Mariana Lysenko, the head doctor of the City Clinical Hospital No. 52 in Moscow, said that the current situation reminds of “the calm before the storm.”

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